Thursday, 23 May 2013

May 23rd initial thoughts

Currently still in Childress looking at data etc. A reasonable risk of supercells today especially where any storms interacts with an outflow boundary/pseudo cold front. Think storms should form on the Caprock amidst 4000J/Kg instability and then move into deeper moisture. Will need to be close to the boundary as a fairly hot boundary layer will mean fairly high cloud bases away from it. Big hail the main threat but tornadoes a possibility close to the boundary.

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