Overnight storms have produced outflow which is pushing the front south...indeed, I think further south than models have simulated it. It should lift north but more elevated convection is rolling through central Kansas now. This may be the stuff which evolves in a cluster across the moderate risk area to the east. Heating after this and north-east of the surface low could bring an area north and northeast of Salina into play. More discrete development south along the dryline is another consideration.
There is a third consideration around N Central Kansas back into NW KS, north of the surface low...cold core set-up. The issue with that could be the extensive low cloud around at the moment - but it's already being eroded in E Colorado.
Indeed, Wichita looks good to me at around 5pm CDT. A fairly late show but will be better positioning for SE OK tomorrow, maybe!
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