May 23rd thoughts

Hello. We're starting the day in Enid, Oklahoma. There is an Enhanced Risk of severe storms further to the west, with the highest tornado potential perhaps over the eastern Texas Panhandle. However, today's forecast is complicated by a very moist airmass (in which storms could develop rather randomly) and a cold front, which is being reinforced by convection on its northern side over parts of the Oklahoma Panhandle and SW Kansas. We need to watch this, as the front may well sink further south than models depict. We will head to Canadian, Texas, initially and refine from there - either targeting around that area (depending on the front) or heading south of Amarillo along the dry line.

Below is a morning analysis.