Morning. Today, the cold front has sagged into the South Plains of Texas, and then points NE through Oklahoma, etc. A dry line extends southwards from a small surface cyclone in SE New Mexico. The front should lift a bit north today and the dryline will mix eastwards. The area east of the shallow low may be a bit better for tornado potential but the overall risk is rather more nebulous compared to the last day or two, but still not bad.
We will likely head towards Lubbock and points north-east to pick up any supercells which can form off the dryline - the chase terrain in the area is very good too, with the pancake-flat Llano Estacado - the storms may propagate off the Caprock by evening.
This morning's analysis below.
Indeed, I saw Lubbock before I even posted here. This was my first place of storm experience 2000. Upper shear is in place. So whilst LL speed shear looks weak, directional shear is a classic. Go for this one and good luck!
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