June 2nd thoughts

A big area of the High Plains has the chance of severe storms today. Small-scale factors may contribute to locally enhanced chances of a tornado but the overall chance is low. For example, flow may back to the north of the Raton Mesa, over SE Colorado, although moisture is not great, but may be good enough. An outflow boundary around the Trans-Pecos may helps but overall forcing is negligible.

We considered remaining in SW Texas for the outflow boundary, marked on this map - but will likely drift into southern New Mexico.